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Russia in 2020 : Scenarios for the Future: Lipman, Maria (EDT)/ Petrov, Nikolay (EDT): BOOKS KINOKUNIYA
Book Details
Russia in 2020 : Scenarios for the Future
Russia in 2020 : Scenarios for the Future
Published Date : 2011/12
Binding : Paperback
ISBN : 9780870032639

BookWeb Price : S$ 32.03
Kinokuniya Privilege Card member price : S$ 28.83

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Language : English
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Book Description
Source: ENG
Place of Publication: United States
Textual Format: Readings/Anthologies
Academic Level: Graduate
Table of Contents
 
Foreword                                           ix
          Thomas Carothers
Acknowledgments                                    xi
Introduction: Russia In 2020---Development         xiii
Scenarios
          Maria Lipman
          Nikolay Petrov
  PART I RUSSIA IN THE WORLD
    Chapter One Russia And The World               3   (22)
          Thomas Graham
    Chapter Two Russia In World-Systems            25  (20)
    Perspective
          Georgi Derluguian
          Immanuel Wallerstein
    Chapter Three Russia's Foreign Policy          45  (22)
    Outlook
          Dmitri Trenin
    Chapter Four Russia's Place In The World Of    67  (22)
    Unintended Consequences, Or Murphy's Law
    And Order
          Fyodor Lukyanov
    Chapter Five Russia And The New                89  (20)
    "Transitional Europe"
          Arkady Moshes
    Chapter Six The South Caucasus In 2020         109 (16)
          Thomas de Waal
  PART II POLITICAL ECONOMY AND ECONOMICS
    Chapter Seven The "Third Cycle": Is Russia     125 (24)
    Headed Back To The Future?
          Kirill Rogov
    Chapter Eight Russia's Political Economy:      149 (16)
    The Next Decade
          Daniel Treisman
    Chapter Nine The Russian Economy Through       165 (22)
    2020: The Challenge Of Managing Rent
    Addiction
          Clifford G. Gaddy
          Barry W. Ickes
    Chapter Ten The Russian Economy In Limbo       187 (28)
          Vladimir Milov
  PART III POLITICAL SYSTEM
    Chapter Eleven Institution Building And        215 (18)
    "Institutional Traps" In Russian Politics
          Vladimir Gelman
    Chapter Twelve Transition As A Political       233 (22)
    Institution: Toward 2020
          Richard Sakwa
    Chapter Thirteen Can The Machine Come To       255 (22)
    Life? Prospects For Russia's Party System
    In 2020
          Henry Hale
    Chapter Fourteen Scenarios For The             277 (26)
    Evolution Of The Russian Political Party
    System
          Boris Makarenko
  PART IV STATE
    Chapter Fifteen The Excessive Role Of A        303 (26)
    Weak Russian State
          Nikolay Petrov
    Chapter Sixteen Center-Periphery Relations     329 (20)
          Robert Orttung
    Chapter Seventeen The Continuing Revolution    349 (22)
    In Russian Military Affairs: Toward 2020
          Pavel K. Baev
    Chapter Eighteen The Armed Forces In 2020:     371 (24)
    Modern Or Soviet?
          Alexander Golts
  PART V REGIONS
    Chapter Nineteen Russia's Regions And          395 (22)
    Cities: Scenarios For 2020
          Natalia Zubarevich
    Chapter Twenty Political Systems In The        417 (18)
    Russian Regions In 2020
          Alexandr Kynev
    Chapter Twenty-One 2020: The Last Chance       435 (24)
    For The North Caucasus?
          Alexey Malashenko
  PART VI SOCIETY AND CIVIL SOCIETY
    Chapter Twenty-Two Society, Politics, And      459 (18)
    The Search For Community In Russia
          Samuel A. Greene
    Chapter Twenty-Three The Inertia Of Passive    477 (22)
    Adaptation
          Lev Gudkov
    Chapter Twenty-Four The Nomenklatura And       499 (32)
    The Elite
          Nikolay Petrov
    Chapter Twenty-Five The Evolution Of Civic     531 (22)
    Activeness
          Jens Siegert
  PART VII IDEOLOGY AND CULTURE
    Chapter Twenty-Six Russia And The New          553 (20)
    "Russian World"
          Igor Zevelev
    Chapter Twenty-Seven Society And The State     573 (20)
    On The Internet: A Call For Change
          Alexey Sidorenko
Conclusions                                        593 (22)
          Maria Lipman
          Nikolay Petrov
Index                                              615 (66)
Contributors                                       681 (4)
Carnegie Endowment For International Peace         685
 

As Vladimir Putin prepares to return to the presidency in the 2012 elections, the prospects for Russia's future are unclear. "Russia in 2020" brings together leading experts to analyze the possible scenarios for Russia's development in the next decade and the risks that lie ahead. Despite Putin's eminent return, the authors believe that the so-called Putin Era is over. This does not mean that Putin will soon give up power, but the political and economic system he created is incapable of dealing with Russia's rapidly changing conditions. Crises are likely unavoidable unless Russia changes and modernizes.

Contents
Contents I. Russia in the World 1. Russia in World-Systems Perspective 2. Russia's Foreign Policy Outlook 3. Russia's Place in the World of Unintended Consequences, or Murphy's Law and Order 4. Russia and the New "Transitional Europe" 5. The South Caucasus in 2020 II. Political Economy and Economics 7. The "Third Cycle": Is Russia Headed Back to the Future? 8. Russia's Political Economy: The Next Decade 9. The Russian Economy to 2020: The Challenge of Managing Rent Addiction 10. The Russian Economy in LimboIII. Political System 11. Institution Building and "Institutional Traps" in Russian Politics 12. Transition as a Political Institution: Toward 2020 13. Can the Machine Come to Life? Prospects for Russia's Party System in 2020 14. Scenarios for the Evolution of the Russian Political Party SystemIV. State 15. The Excessive Role of a Weak Russian State 16. Center-Periphery Relations 17. The Continuing Revolution in Russian Military Affairs: Toward 2020 18. The Armed Forces in 2020: Modern or Soviet?V. Regions 19. Russia's Regions and Cities 20. Political Systems in the Russian Regions in 2020 21. 2020: The Last Chance for the North Caucasus?VI. Society and Civil Society 22. Aggressive Immobility of the Russian Society 23. The Inertia of Passive Adaptation 24. Between Nomenklatura and Elites. 25. The Evolution of Civic ActivenessVII. Ideology and Culture 26. Russia and the New "Russian World" 27. Runet Space